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Reading this book in 2008 may probably make some people feel as though it is not saying anything new. It emphasises a number of things that have become common wisdom nowadays - that you should invest in index funds, not try to beat the market but focus on beating taxes and inflation, that almost 75% of the fund managers underperform the market etc..etc.
But that does not make the book a boring one. To me, it makes an interesting argument as to why we should not try to beat the market. In the 1960's, only about 10% of the investment in the stock market was done by institutional investors whereas the other 90% came from individual investors, who were not professional or savvy about investing. So, it gave a good chance for the institutional fund managers a good chance to beat the market because there were many opportunities for exploitation in the market. But, by the 1990's, about 90% of all the stock market investment was made by the institutional investors, who had access to all the latest data and technology to play the stock market. They all had full time professionals who had the latest algorithms for trading. Against such an array of managers, the ordinary investor stands little chance to beat them because the institutional investor is THE MARKET now! That is why Ellis says that we must just try to be satisfied with getting market returns as a safe measure. This is what he calls 'Winning the Loser's game'. The metaphor is drawn from non-professional tennis matches, where the winner is not the one who makes the brilliant winners but the one who makes less number of unforced errors. Another important point that Ellis makes is that 'Investing ought to start with the axiom that managing risk (which is what drives investment returns) is immeasurably more important than seeking market inefficiencies to exploit'. The other advice he gives us is:
'focus on minimizing expense ratios, investing in index mutual funds, and focus on long-term goals and the impact of inflation on your portfolio'.
I found this book extremely useful and intend following many of its suggestions.
But that does not make the book a boring one. To me, it makes an interesting argument as to why we should not try to beat the market. In the 1960's, only about 10% of the investment in the stock market was done by institutional investors whereas the other 90% came from individual investors, who were not professional or savvy about investing. So, it gave a good chance for the institutional fund managers a good chance to beat the market because there were many opportunities for exploitation in the market. But, by the 1990's, about 90% of all the stock market investment was made by the institutional investors, who had access to all the latest data and technology to play the stock market. They all had full time professionals who had the latest algorithms for trading. Against such an array of managers, the ordinary investor stands little chance to beat them because the institutional investor is THE MARKET now! That is why Ellis says that we must just try to be satisfied with getting market returns as a safe measure. This is what he calls 'Winning the Loser's game'. The metaphor is drawn from non-professional tennis matches, where the winner is not the one who makes the brilliant winners but the one who makes less number of unforced errors. Another important point that Ellis makes is that 'Investing ought to start with the axiom that managing risk (which is what drives investment returns) is immeasurably more important than seeking market inefficiencies to exploit'. The other advice he gives us is:
'focus on minimizing expense ratios, investing in index mutual funds, and focus on long-term goals and the impact of inflation on your portfolio'.
I found this book extremely useful and intend following many of its suggestions.