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There are two kinds of innovations: sustaining and disruptive. Sustaining ones are about improving the product along some dimensions, without making it worse along any others: a new iteration of iPhones is an example, or the latest M1 MacBooks. Disruptive ones make the product noticeably worse, except for some dimension that is irrelevant to the users of the current generation. If you are actively using a Nokia smartphone or Windows mobile in 2006, the new iPhone looks like a toy: no copy-paste? No multi-tasking? $500? No keyboard? In my ultimate productivity&communication machine? Are you kidding me?
Or you are making 8-inch hard drives in the 80s, most of your customers are producing minicomputers, your engineers come to you with the prototype of a 5.25-inch hard drive. You bring it to your most valuable customers, they say:
—Looks cool, how many bytes does it fit in?
—Less than 5.25^2/8^2 = 0.43 times (in fact it seems closer to 0.2-0.3 from the data in the book) what the hard drives we are selling to you right now fit in.
—LOL.
—But look how small it is!
—Have you seen a minicomputer? "Mini" is in comparison to a mainframe.
—Ok I think I get your point.
Back at the office you tell the engineers "it is nifty but no one wants it, plus the margins are thinner than on the 8-inch drives", and give them a different project to work on. A year later some upstart is selling 5.25-inch drives to the makers of personal computers: they need a smaller drive (because they want a small computer, plus smaller drives vibrate less and thus are more reliable, which is less relevant for minicomputers which mostly stay in one place bolted to the floor), and don't need as much disk space as the minicomputers do. Your planning division estimates the personal computer market to maybe get to 10k computers tops, so you brush it off.
Couple of years later the PC market is overtaking the minicomputers market, but your business is doing well. That upstart shows the latest 5.25" drive, which is still lagging behind your latest 8" drives capacity by 2-3x, those noobs just can't keep up with you. But some of your customers, the ones that used to buy your cheapest drives, switch to the upstart (maybe reliability matters a bit more for them). Well, that's even better for you: the margins are larger on the more expensive models, so you just discontinue the cheapest line. A year later you discontinue another line, improve your margins even more, two years later 5.25" drives have enough capacity for all minicomputer manufacturers, you say "oh shit" and go bankrupt.
What happened? The 5.25" drive was a disruptive technology: it was worse along the axis important to the current customers, but the upstart found an emerging market that had a use for it, even though the performance was worse. Your company was large enough to ignore that emerging market (develop a new product, with worse margins, for a market that is about a couple percent of the one you are in, and sell it to the customers you don't have existing relationships with — why would you do that?). Plus, since the 5.25" drive has smaller margins, you'd need to find new suppliers, change the processes at your company to make the smaller margins culturally acceptable (if your boss is used to having 40% margins, are you going to bring them a proposal for a new project with 30% or even 20% margins?). You'd need to establish the relationship with new customers. And all of that — given that it is far from certain that those fancy PCs will ever be more than a dust speck on the total computer market share graph.
That is the basic gist of the innovator's dilemma: if you are dealing with a disruptive technology, it needs a new market. Your current customers, your suppliers, the sellers of your product, even your company culture will all be against a new product with the worse margins, worse performance along the axis that seems relevant, and a much smaller market. The CEO may not even hear about a proposal to develop a project further because someone below "of course the CEO is going to reject this and demote me for wasting their time on this obviously bad proposal". And so much for the "listen to your customers" wisdom.
What's the solution? Spin out a separate company for the project or acquire a startup. Christensen gives a great Resources, Processes, Values framework (basically, resources (i.e. people, patents, factories) are easier to change than the processes which are easier to change than the company values, and a disruptive technology probably needs different processes and values) for deciding how integrated the spun out company (and whether it needs to be a separate company at all) should be with the rest of the organization. If the project is treated as just another project, you won't find a product-market fit, or will ignore it even if you do because the market is not large enough. In a sense, a disruptive technology needs both a new market and a new company.
The book gives a lot of examples: the hard drives industry is the most frequent source because of all the parameters of all hard drives ever manufactured and sold are known, but it also features a very exciting (no sarcasm) tale of the steam shovels vs hydraulic backhoes, Apple Newton as the example of a large company trying to get into an emerging market with a disruptive product (spoiler: it doesn't work out well, don't bet hundreds of millions on your current idea of what the emerging market wants after doing "market research" instead of testing products with the users until you find an actual emerging market for your product), and the battle of integrated steel mills and so-called steel minimills (no less exciting than the excavators tale), and some others. Excellent book, I highly recommend it if you want to understand why large companies stop innovating.
...
And can you guess what the fun part is?
About the same year that your company goes bankrupt, the new 3.5" drives start appearing. You enjoy reading about that ex-upstart that has now taken your company's place: laptops? Who the hell cares about laptops?
Or you are making 8-inch hard drives in the 80s, most of your customers are producing minicomputers, your engineers come to you with the prototype of a 5.25-inch hard drive. You bring it to your most valuable customers, they say:
—Looks cool, how many bytes does it fit in?
—Less than 5.25^2/8^2 = 0.43 times (in fact it seems closer to 0.2-0.3 from the data in the book) what the hard drives we are selling to you right now fit in.
—LOL.
—But look how small it is!
—Have you seen a minicomputer? "Mini" is in comparison to a mainframe.
—Ok I think I get your point.
Back at the office you tell the engineers "it is nifty but no one wants it, plus the margins are thinner than on the 8-inch drives", and give them a different project to work on. A year later some upstart is selling 5.25-inch drives to the makers of personal computers: they need a smaller drive (because they want a small computer, plus smaller drives vibrate less and thus are more reliable, which is less relevant for minicomputers which mostly stay in one place bolted to the floor), and don't need as much disk space as the minicomputers do. Your planning division estimates the personal computer market to maybe get to 10k computers tops, so you brush it off.
Couple of years later the PC market is overtaking the minicomputers market, but your business is doing well. That upstart shows the latest 5.25" drive, which is still lagging behind your latest 8" drives capacity by 2-3x, those noobs just can't keep up with you. But some of your customers, the ones that used to buy your cheapest drives, switch to the upstart (maybe reliability matters a bit more for them). Well, that's even better for you: the margins are larger on the more expensive models, so you just discontinue the cheapest line. A year later you discontinue another line, improve your margins even more, two years later 5.25" drives have enough capacity for all minicomputer manufacturers, you say "oh shit" and go bankrupt.
What happened? The 5.25" drive was a disruptive technology: it was worse along the axis important to the current customers, but the upstart found an emerging market that had a use for it, even though the performance was worse. Your company was large enough to ignore that emerging market (develop a new product, with worse margins, for a market that is about a couple percent of the one you are in, and sell it to the customers you don't have existing relationships with — why would you do that?). Plus, since the 5.25" drive has smaller margins, you'd need to find new suppliers, change the processes at your company to make the smaller margins culturally acceptable (if your boss is used to having 40% margins, are you going to bring them a proposal for a new project with 30% or even 20% margins?). You'd need to establish the relationship with new customers. And all of that — given that it is far from certain that those fancy PCs will ever be more than a dust speck on the total computer market share graph.
That is the basic gist of the innovator's dilemma: if you are dealing with a disruptive technology, it needs a new market. Your current customers, your suppliers, the sellers of your product, even your company culture will all be against a new product with the worse margins, worse performance along the axis that seems relevant, and a much smaller market. The CEO may not even hear about a proposal to develop a project further because someone below "of course the CEO is going to reject this and demote me for wasting their time on this obviously bad proposal". And so much for the "listen to your customers" wisdom.
What's the solution? Spin out a separate company for the project or acquire a startup. Christensen gives a great Resources, Processes, Values framework (basically, resources (i.e. people, patents, factories) are easier to change than the processes which are easier to change than the company values, and a disruptive technology probably needs different processes and values) for deciding how integrated the spun out company (and whether it needs to be a separate company at all) should be with the rest of the organization. If the project is treated as just another project, you won't find a product-market fit, or will ignore it even if you do because the market is not large enough. In a sense, a disruptive technology needs both a new market and a new company.
The book gives a lot of examples: the hard drives industry is the most frequent source because of all the parameters of all hard drives ever manufactured and sold are known, but it also features a very exciting (no sarcasm) tale of the steam shovels vs hydraulic backhoes, Apple Newton as the example of a large company trying to get into an emerging market with a disruptive product (spoiler: it doesn't work out well, don't bet hundreds of millions on your current idea of what the emerging market wants after doing "market research" instead of testing products with the users until you find an actual emerging market for your product), and the battle of integrated steel mills and so-called steel minimills (no less exciting than the excavators tale), and some others. Excellent book, I highly recommend it if you want to understand why large companies stop innovating.
...
And can you guess what the fun part is?
About the same year that your company goes bankrupt, the new 3.5" drives start appearing. You enjoy reading about that ex-upstart that has now taken your company's place: laptops? Who the hell cares about laptops?